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991.
A behavioral theory of governments’ ability to make credible commitments to firms: The case of the East Asian paradox 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
An expansive literature exists linking institutional constraints, credible commitments, and economic growth. Yet, this literature
runs into difficulty when it tries to explain the East Asian “paradox:” rapid economic growth achieved by countries with low
levels of formal constraints on government discretion. We use a behavioral theory of commitment to argue that the characteristics
of the salient actors (governments) and their actions (policies) affect the credibility of their behaviors in ways independent
of the structural underpinnings of a country’s political institutions. This behavioral theory of commitment provides a distinct
but complementary lens through which to view the apparent paradox presented by these East Asian countries, and more generally
provides an alternative theoretical mechanism to explain and predict governments’ ability to credibly signal their commitment
to a course of action to investing firms. The success of East Asian countries in encouraging investment from both domestic
and foreign firms implies that firms interpret governments’ actions as credible signals of their intention to honor their
commitments to firms, consistent with the behavioral theory of commitment. 相似文献
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I compare the performance of buy/hold/sell recommendations from foreign, local, and expatriate (foreigners with local operations) analysts in an emerging market. Location appears to be important: expatriate analysts significantly outperform foreign analysts. Expatriates also significantly outperform locals, implying that other factors such as global resources also play a role, and a variety of controls for the characteristics of the recommending firm does not alter findings. Trading based on expatriate recommendations generates significantly positive risk-adjusted returns. Furthermore, foreign and local institutional investors appear to trade on the superior information of expatriate analysts, even when it contradicts their own information. 相似文献
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This article analyses the Keynesian multiplier from a new perspective. Recent empirical studies emphasize that the multiplier is endogenous to the level of economic activity, increasing during recessions and declining in expansions. Here, we propose a plausible explanation for this established fact based on the procyclicality of capitalists' propensity to save. Then, using a standard Kaleckian model of growth and distribution, we perform some simple simulations showing that fiscal multipliers increase during turbulent times. Consequently, this argues against cutting public spending for economies in recession. 相似文献
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